SANTHA WALTERS
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Covid and Me

12/2/2020

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I'm very uncertain writing this.  Right now the United States is being ravaged by the Coronavirus.  
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Unfortunately, the virus has become politicized.  

I don't want this to be about politics.  I want it to be about facts.  Take a look at these numbers: 

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This is a snapshot from the Sarpy and Cass County Health Departments.  Notice how the spikes are getting bigger.  This data represents over 200k souls where I live and work.  

In the next few days, our community will start seeing the cases resulting from the Thanksgiving holiday.  I expect these numbers to spike even higher as there have only been 12k confirmed cases (14 percent of the population).  There's 188k of us who "have not had it" (we may have been asymptomatic and not even known).  
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Let's split the difference and say that in Nebraska, our death rate is about 1 percent of infected (1 percent per 100k according to here).  That means if the rest of us 188 get infected we can expect to see about 3760 more deaths in the state.  Most of these deaths would be concentrated in this part of the state. 

Now, let's say only 4 percent of those need hospitalization.  If they all get sick at once that's 7520 hospital beds needed.  
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As you can see, we only have a bit over 4k beds.  We're pushing close to the limits with the ventilators already.  The next three or four days will see the spikes from Thanksgiving.  then, we'll see what kind of trouble we will be in for Christmas.  
It's math.  It's simple math.  

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Please understand.  As a compromised person with several underlying health issues (from my liver to my head to my feet), I want to be safe.  They say they can't trace the cases to the schools, All the articles I've seen stipulate that schools are safe as long as this requirement is met:
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Community Transmission rate is NOT LOW anymore.  Yet we go 100 percent face to face--all schools, all students, everyone.  

 I resent being put in the position to chose my livelihood over my health.  
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    Santha Walters

    I'm an indie  writer/publisher and technology teacher.  I’m not interesting, but this is my journey.  

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